Skip to main content
Live
Main content

Nasdaq posts worst month since March 2025 as AI spending fears spread

Big Tech has outlined more than $740 billion in capex this year, and investors spent the last week of October questioning who will earn it back.

Jaeden Schafer
Editor in Chief · · 5 min read
Nasdaq posts worst month since March 2025 as AI spending fears spread

The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.9% on Friday, its biggest drop since June, closing out its worst month since March 2025 as investors questioned the returns on Big Tech's AI spending. The index finished October 7.8% below its October 6 record close.

The Nasdaq 100 fell 3.5% on Friday, leaving it on the edge of a correction, defined as a 10% drop from a recent high. Intel and Reddit each fell about 29%. Sandisk, a chipmaker that has been a major beneficiary of AI capital spending, lost 13%. Nvidia fell 4%, Broadcom more than 5% and Qualcomm 11%.

Microsoft, Meta, Amazon and Alphabet each slipped 1% to 2% on Friday after bigger losses earlier in the week. Capital Economics estimates those four hyperscalers accounted for more than a third of all capital spending by S&P 500 companies over the past 12 months, and its markets economist John Higgins said investors are growing more nervous about the sums involved.

“voting all of a sudden and all together on who will monetize the investment and who won't”
— Brian Jacobsen, Chief economic strategist, Annex Wealth Management

Key facts

  • 01The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.9% on October 30 and ended October with its worst month since March 2025.
  • 02The Nasdaq 100 dropped 3.5% Friday, leaving it on the brink of a correction, a 10% drop from a recent high.
  • 03Alphabet fell 12.64% on October 29, erasing about $500 billion in market value, its worst day on record.
  • 04Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Microsoft have outlined more than $740 billion in combined capex for 2026.
  • 05Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Oracle raised $326 billion in debt in 2026, triple last year's total.

Alphabet took the hardest hit of the week. Its Class A shares fell 12.64% to $283.82 on Thursday, erasing about $500 billion in market value in the company's worst day on record. Alphabet reported $127.6 billion in third-quarter revenue, up 25% but below Wall Street estimates, with Search growth slowing to 12% from 17% the prior quarter. Capital expenditures reached $51.4 billion, and free cash flow was negative $9.1 billion, its second straight quarterly deficit.

The same pattern showed up across the other earnings reports. Amazon expects $220 billion in capex this year and has posted negative free cash flow of $42.4 billion over the past 12 months, even as AWS revenue grew 39%. Its stock fell 7% after Thursday's report. Meta guided to as much as $145 billion in capex this year and posted negative free cash flow of $2.1 billion in the third quarter, despite 26% ad revenue growth.

Meta's spending is tied in part to Muse, its free AI agent. Mark Zuckerberg has described the agent as costly to serve at scale. Meta shares fell 10% the prior week.

“very compute-intensive to run”
— Mark Zuckerberg, CEO of Meta

Microsoft was the exception on cash. It generated $18.6 billion in free cash flow in its latest quarter, and its $45.2 billion in capex came in below the $50 billion it had projected. Microsoft attributed the shortfall to delays in third-party capacity rather than a pullback, but shares of smaller neocloud companies that rent out AI compute fell after the revision.

Borrowing is rising alongside the spending. Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Oracle raised a combined $326 billion in debt in 2026, triple last year's total, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Combined, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Microsoft have outlined more than $740 billion in capital expenditures for the year.

Related · from this week
HPE argues enterprises should own AI capacity as production workloads scale
Jaeden Schafer · 4 min read →

Not every strategist reads the selloff as a balance-sheet problem. Sahak Manuelian, managing director for global equities sales and trading at Wedbush Securities, said: "I don't think it's a particularly troublesome leverage issue that we're dealing with."

ShareXLinkedInEmail
AI Box

Every AI model. One chat.

The latest models from ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Sora, ElevenLabs — 80+ models in a single chat. Compare answers side by side. Pick the best one every time.

  • ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek — in one chat
  • Generate images & video with Sora, Veo, Ideogram
  • Compare any two models side by side
  • From $8.99/mo · 80+ models, all included
Try AI Boxaibox.ai
Trusted by 3,000+ teams
Got a tip?

Working on something we should cover, or seeing a story we missed? Send leads, documents, or feedback to hello@aichatdaily.com. For sensitive tips, see our secure tips page for Signal and PGP options.

Spotted an error? Email hello@aichatdaily.com with the URL and the issue, or read our full corrections policy.

AI Box Daily briefingFree · Daily · No fluff

Stay ahead of everyone in AI.

The tightly edited AI news email engineers, founders, and investors actually open. One email. Every weekday. Five minutes to finish.

Loved by 10,000+ AI professionals
Free forever. Unsubscribe with one click.

The briefing read inside teams at

Keep reading

More from Business

HPE argues enterprises should own AI capacity as production workloads scale
Business

HPE argues enterprises should own AI capacity as production workloads scale

Deloitte data shows the share of firms with 40% of AI projects in production is set to double within six months, changing the cost math.

Jaeden Schafer4 min read
Nvidia logo
Business

China weighs letting ByteDance and Alibaba buy new Nvidia chips

A policy reversal would reopen one of Nvidia's largest export markets after months of Beijing steering domestic buyers toward local silicon.

Jaeden Schafer4 min read
Blue Cross Blue Shield says AI hospital coding added $942M in costs
Business

Blue Cross Blue Shield says AI hospital coding added $942M in costs

A BCBSA analysis blames AI-assisted claims tools for a two-year spending surge, with no matching change in care delivered.

Jaeden Schafer4 min read